Barack Obama is leading John McCain in Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Wisconsin, Iowa, Illinois and Minnesota, according to a new Big Ten Battleground Poll. “Obama is clearly winning the Big Ten battleground,” says Charles Franklin of Pollster.com.
Link:The Huffington Post
SurveyUSA has conducted polling in five states where some form of early voting was underway. In each one, Barack Obama is doing profoundly better among early voters than among the state’s electorate as a whole:
Link:FiveThirtyEight.com
Yet for all the breathless analysis and number-crunching that has convinced observers Obama is en route to an epic victory, there is one key historic fact that is often overlooked — most popular vote landslides were clearly visible by the end of summer. And by that indicator, 2008 doesn’t measure up.
In five of the six [...]
Yesterday’s poll results all centered on crucial battleground states:
* In Colorado (polling history), PPP finds Obama holding on to his lead from July, 48% to 44%.
* In Virginia (polling history), SUSA has the two candidates locked in a toss-up, with McCain at 48% compared to Obama’s 47%. McCain leads among whites by 19% - which [...]
Among the states up for grabs in this year’s presidential race is a surprise: Virginia.
It hasn’t voted for a Democrat since Lyndon Johnson in 1964. But in recent years, Virginia has elected back-to-back Democratic governors and a U.S. senator. And a Democrat is highly favored to win this year’s Senate race — all of which [...]
It really is the economy, stupid! Economic models that have correctly predicted the winner of almost all post-war U.S. presidential elections say recession fears will secure a victory for Barack Obama in November.
Three separate studies showed the Democratic presidential hopeful winning between 52 and 55 percent of the popular vote on November 4, based on [...]
Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain by 11 points in Wisconsin based on a new poll.
The Quinnipiac University poll released on Thursday shows that 50 percent of likely voters said they will vote for Obama, a senator from Illinois. In the poll, 39 percent said they will vote for McCain, a senator from Arizona.
Link:WISC [...]
When Democrats officially chose Denver as the site of their national convention last year, it was a big surprise since most political observers thought New York would be the safest and most logical pick.
Now, with polls showing Sen. Barack Obama several points ahead of Sen. John McCain in the new swing state, the choice is [...]
Barack Obama is leading John McCain by five percentage points in Montana. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state shows Obama attracting 48% of the vote while McCain earns 43%.
In April, the numbers were reversed with McCain leading 48% to 43%. That was before Obama clinched the Democratic nomination and defeated Hillary Clinton [...]
“Toss-up” states Minnesota and Wisconsin were re-designated to “Lean-Obama” Friday, giving the presumptive Democratic nominee another 20 electoral votes in CNN’s current estimate. The Illinois senator now has 231 electoral votes — 39 shy of winning the presidency.
Link:CNN’s Electoral Map: Two states shift to Obama
